FT Economists New Year survey

I was pleased to have the opportunity to contribute to the FT’s annual new year survey of economists, highlighting the risks inherent in the government’s fiscal forecasts for 2016, the unbalanced nature of the housing market and the uncertainties that will come from the EU referendum.

National Living Wage – where will the job cuts come?

Working with the Centre for London, we published some analysis today that showed London is more likely to be able to absorb the new National Living Wage for over-25s when it is introduced next April, without causing job losses. But since the OBR estimates 60,000 job losses across the county as a whole, this prompts the question – where will they come?