Here’s the link to my full round-up of the economic story from Budget 16, written for Portland
Here’s a link to an article on Huffington Post that explores some of the assumptions behind the forecasts in Budget 2016.
I was pleased to have the opportunity to contribute to the FT’s annual new year survey of economists, highlighting the risks inherent in the government’s fiscal forecasts for 2016, the unbalanced nature of the housing market and the uncertainties that will come from the EU referendum.
Here’s a link to my analysis of the spending review and Autumn Statement, written for Portland.
I was pleased to discuss the national minimum wage this afternoon, and specifically our research on how London differs from the rest of the country, on the new business radio station, Share Radio. Here’s a link to the interview.
Working with the Centre for London, we published some analysis today that showed London is more likely to be able to absorb the new National Living Wage for over-25s when it is introduced next April, without causing job losses. But since the OBR estimates 60,000 job losses across the county as a whole, this prompts the question – where will they come?
Pleased today to get a letter in the FT that draws on our research around the distribution of wealth, in response to a piece about whether being affluent makes you happy: it does if you include the strong relationship between negative wealth (debts) and misery.
Here’s a link to my verdict on the budget, written for Portland