Economists should spend less time trying (and failing) to predict the short term economic effects of Brexit and more time understanding what the referendum says about the underlying structure of the UK economy – my piece for today’s FT comment pages.
A Huffington post article that draws on some recent research by the London School of Economics in the context of the current situation faced by the Labour Party. Written in Liverpool during Labour party conference.
Here’s the link to my full round-up of the economic story from Budget 16, written for Portland
Here’s a link to an article on Huffington Post that explores some of the assumptions behind the forecasts in Budget 2016.
I was pleased to have the opportunity to contribute to the FT’s annual new year survey of economists, highlighting the risks inherent in the government’s fiscal forecasts for 2016, the unbalanced nature of the housing market and the uncertainties that will come from the EU referendum.
Here’s a link to my analysis of the spending review and Autumn Statement, written for Portland.
Here’s a link to my review for the Society of Business Economists of Howard Davies’ most recent reflections on the lessons of the financial crisis.
In the run up to Greece’s elections on Sunday, here’s a Huffpo piece on the likely implications of the anti-austerity parties winning. Once the dust has settled Greece will still be in the euro, and a renegotiation of the debt repayment schedule will be possible.