The pound’s fall is merely the crowd-sourced view of Britain’s perceived economic prospects. If Brexit comes to be seen as good for Britain it would reverse. Some thoughts on the plight of sterling and what British consumers have in common with Donald Rumsfeld, written for Portland’s Brexit unit, here.
Here’s a link to an article for Portland, where I am chief economic adviser, on the priorities for financial services companies when they consider how to approach Brexit.
Here’s a link to my review for the Society of Business Economists of Howard Davies’ most recent reflections on the lessons of the financial crisis.
I contributed to this excellent article in today’s FT Weekend magazine on the gender gap in parliament.
Here’s a link to my note on the Budget published for Portland. The effect on May’s general election will depend on whether voters prefer the “steady as she goes” approach or feel that “enough is enough”.
In the run up to Greece’s elections on Sunday, here’s a Huffpo piece on the likely implications of the anti-austerity parties winning. Once the dust has settled Greece will still be in the euro, and a renegotiation of the debt repayment schedule will be possible.
Here’s a link to the FT’s new year survey of economists with predictions for 2015 – my contribution highlights the political risk of an EU referendum if the Conservatives win the general election in May.